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to our MLB underdogs newsletter or to purchase a copy of our Totals Formula.
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What We're About
Our MLB predictions come from an in-depth study of baseball statistics and measures. From our continuing research,
we have developed several baseball betting formulas for MLB picks and predictions.
We are not touts or sports handicappers. But our formulas can be used to profit off of baseball games.
Major League Baseball is an excellent game on which to launch a serious betting attack, in particular
when you have a solid baseball betting system. Matches are played nearly every day
during the six month baseball season, so there are
many more potential value bets than most sports.
Baseball is a very statistics driven game which lends itself to professional
analysis and a scientific betting approach. By the application of strict filters
developed skillfully over time, some of the more random elements typical in most team sports can be minimized.
The Dogs Formula:
Our Dogs Formula offers regular value MLB bets on less favored teams. It utilizes sophisticated
statistical analysis and filtering
techniques. The Dogs Formula offers underdog value bets that give us a realistic
chance at being a long term winner in Major League Baseball games.
Major League Baseball Ratings System:
Our Dogs Formula uses a unique MLB ratings system that projects how each of the 30 MLB clubs will
perform as dogs for the current season. We research and isolate each individual team well in advance of each MLB season. Then
throughout the
season, we keep updated daily stats on each team's projected performance.
Painstaking MLB Research!
Each season, we put hundreds of hours of research into Major League Baseball statistics and angles. Our formulas are
derived from the results of that research.
Our Dogs Formula is like no other! Our formulas are original, and there is no other service that uses the formulas
that we do.
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Top 5 Reasons to Subscribe:
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Unique Research Tools
Our research into the performance of dogs in Major League Baseball include:
MLB Ratings Systems - All of the 30 MLB teams are rated and re-rated on a daily basis as the season progresses.
Team Isolation - We break down each team's performance
as a dog, week by week.
Moving Averages - Each team's performance is researched not only
as an overall YTD performance, but also as a "moving snapshot" that
studies performance trends throughout the season for each club.
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Like the old-time prospectors panning for gold, we sift through
tons of MLB data each season to find the nuggets that can turn research into profits.
The Power of Filters
Week 5 of the 2006 MLB Season was an historically bad
week for baseball underdogs...
Overall underdogs in baseball lost roughly 19 units
in Week 5 of the 2006 MLB Season. Going back to the 2001
Season, that was the 4th worst losing week (out of 135 MLB weeks of action) since we started
studying underdogs intensively.
In other words, in the previous 135 weeks of baseball we've been studying underdogs,
there were only 3 weeks where overall MLB dogs lost more units than Week 5 in 2006.
However, our MLB Dogs Formula lost only 2.13 units that week, which means
it filtered out 17 losing units that week alone.
Playing an underdogs-only formula, losing weeks cannot be avoided (in fact, losing
weeks cannot be avoided no matter what system is used). But, it demonstrates
the power of filters and how excellent filters can turn what could have
been a 19 unit losing week into a mere 2 unit losing week.
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- 2008 Edition -
Serious Statistical Research on Major League Baseball
- Providing Research Material Since 2001 -
Strong Rebound Year for the NHL Ice Dogs Formula:
It was 'Dogs Gone Wild' in the NHL for the 2007-08 Season...
Ice Dogs finished at +30.51 units (1 unit per play).
Because there are 1/2 the number of games in an NHL Season versus an MLB season, that
is the equivalent of a 61 unit season (1 unit per wager) in baseball!
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Looking for Our 2008 Baseball Formula Underdogs Picks?
We're short staffed in the 2008 baseball season due to one of the researchers becoming a new father
and another staffer being in Europe for business most of the season.
We'll be back in the saddle in the 2009 baseball season with the underdogs newsletter.
Note that we will still be selling copies of the Totals Formula for the 2008 Season.
Thanks for your business.
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"Unreal...the # of units you're up (with the Dogs Formula) has to be some sort of record...Impressive stuff...continued success."
Scott Van Pelt, ESPN SportsCenter Anchor
"...congrats on devising a winning approach to baseball...
certainly a formula based on dogs is most impressive..."
Buzz Daily, Players Guide to Las Vegas Sportsbooks
"You have the goose that lays the golden egg..."
Guy West, Managing Director, OZmium Ltd. (owner of SmartGambler)
Fenway Park, Boston
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Baseball Research, Stats, Formulas, & Predictions
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We offer winning MLB baseball betting formulas that
we have developed through our research to
predict the outcomes of Major
League Baseball games. Our formulas utilize unique methodologies for coming
up with their MLB picks and predictions.
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Baseball Formula 2008 Coverage |
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| A Closer Look |
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MLB Dogs Formula:
Historical Hot Runs |
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» 2002 Season:
· Won +25.55 units in Week 13
» 2003 Season:
· Won +32.56 units in July
» 2004 Season:
· +38.99 units in April/May
» 2005 Season:
· Won +23.69 units in the final 9 days of the season
» 2006 Season:
· Won +26.24 units in the first 15 days of plays
All based on 1 unit per play.
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Commentary:
» The Dogs Formula has had hot streaks each season. You never know when they're
going to strike. |
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Our MLB Dogs Formula
Prior to the 2002 MLB Season, we discovered an exciting Dogs Formula for Major League games. By putting in key filters
which eliminate particular games from consideration, and by utilizing our unique ratings system for each of the
30 MLB teams, we created a baseball betting system that
has had impressive long-term results.
Solid Long-Term Winning Performance!
Since our discovery of the Dogs Formula, it has produced remarkable results...
The graph shows that from the 2002-2006 MLB Seasons, wagering $100 per game on the Dogs Formula's plays, bettors profited
$17,257.
The five-year (2002-2006) profits at $500 per game are $86,285. The profits during that
five-year period at $1,000 per game are $172,570.
Please use legal means if wagering on this system. We never recommend wagering more than you can afford to lose, and
never more than 2% of your bankroll on any play. And we recommend wagering a steady 1 unit per play all season.
We have a definite long-term edge here with this formula. It is not
a fluke, or a "one-year wonder." It is a formula that has now demonstrated a decisive edge
in over 4,500+ plays, spanning five seasons.
| MLB Season |
Units Won |
Profit Wagering $100 per play |
| 2006 Dogs Results |
+20.31 units |
$2,031 |
| 2005 Dogs Results |
+8.52 units † |
$852 † |
| 2004 Dogs Results |
+46.83 units |
$4,683 |
| 2003 Dogs Results |
+43.51 units |
$4,351 |
| 2002 Dogs Results |
+53.40 units |
$5,340 |
| 5-Year Sum Totals |
+172.57 units |
$17,257 |
* All results are based on 1 unit per play.
† Full Season results in 2005 season. Official plays went -9.60 units.
Unofficial plays were sent to subscribers in September (using the same formula where the plays were sent to subscribers
as usual) and won 18.12 units. These plays were delivered to subscribers in Weeks 22-26.
Click here for a full description and review of our 2005 Season
results.
Return on Investment (ROI) and Profit on Turnover (POT) results:
We generally talk about POT (profit on turnover) rather than ROI. But let's look at both
in terms of the Dogs Formula's results.
First, Profit on Turnover is expressed as a percentage and represents the size of your edge
over the bookies. If you place bets totaling $100,000 and make a profit of $5,000 from
those bets, that represents a POT of 5%. If you made a profit of $15,000
it would be a POT of 15%, etc.
| MLB Season |
Profit on Turnover (POT) |
Return on Investment (ROI) |
| 2006 Dogs Results |
2.57% |
40.6% |
| 2005 Dogs Results |
0.90% † |
17% † |
| 2004 Dogs Results |
6.87% |
93.7% |
| 2003 Dogs Results |
4.22% |
87% |
| 2002 Dogs Results |
5.00% |
106.8% |
| 5-Year Average |
3.9% |
69% |
* All results are based on 1 unit per play.
† Full Season results in 2005 season. Official plays went -9.60 units.
Unofficial plays were sent to subscribers in September (using the same formula where the plays were sent to subscribers
as usual) and won 18.12 units. These plays were delivered to subscribers in Weeks 22-26.
Click here for a full description and review of our 2005 Season
results.
**There are different ways to calculate a Return on Investment (ROI) -- the above stats use the
simple "total gain" method. As an example, for the 2004 Season, we took a $5,000 bankroll (we recommend
risking no more than 2% per play, which is $5,000 when risking $100 per play),
to $9,683 for a +$4,683/5000 gain or 93.7%.
Consider the stocks equivalent -- you may buy and sell stocks over the
course of the year, and at the end what you care about is the growth
in your portfolio -- 10% per year is generally considered
solid, 20% is outstanding, but
of course all of this depends on your risk profiles.
The long-term results of our Dogs Formula have provided an outstanding return.
Click here for an explanation of our Dogs Formula.
You may purchase a copy of the Totals Formula for home use. This will allow you to use it
season after season.
Click here for more details.
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Past Records:
Charts, Graphs, and Stats
Review the detailed performances of our Dogs Formula in previous seasons
...(more)
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Who's Minding the Mint?
Money Management Techniques
for Those Who Prefer a Fatter Wallet
When played correctly, the Dogs Formula dramatically reduces the risk of ruin (ROR) to a player's bankroll
...(more)
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Hot and Cold Streaks:
Riding out the Bad Stretches;
Capitalizing on the Hot Runs
In April 2004, we had to send this email message to our subscribers about handling the ups and downs of the long MLB Season after the Dogs Formula started the season
on quite a roll
...(more)
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Handling the Human Element in Any Baseball Betting Formula
In July 2004, we had to send this email message to our subscribers about handling
the tough luck losses and uncontrollable events
...(more)
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Testimonials:
We've received a lot of positive feedback about our service. Read what some
others have to say
...(more)
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The Importance of Filtering: The Key to Winning With Dogs
If you were to wager on every MLB game and only play
the Dogs (or the favorites), you would lose considerable money over the
course of the MLB season.
In the 2002 Season, wagering only on underdogs, you would have lost roughly 101 units. In the 2003
Season, wagering only on underdogs, you would have lost roughly 88 units. In the 2004
Season, wagering only on underdogs, you would have lost roughly 64 units. In the 2005
Season, wagering only on underdogs, you would have lost roughly 13 units. And in the 2006
Season, wagering only on underdogs, you would have lost roughly 9 units.
So clearly, filtering
techniques are needed to screen out games that turn those heavy losses into a profitable season.
Our Dogs Formula uses several layers of filtering techniques. The chart below shows that the
primary filter we use saved bettors
66 units in losses in the 2002 MLB Season, 43 units in losses in the 2003 Season, 60 units
in losses in the 2004 Season, 32 units in losses in the 2005 Season, and 31 units in losses in the 2006 Season.
That filter
certainly helps, but it is the additional filters that we use that provided our successful results
in the 2002-2006 seasons. The column on the far right shows the Dogs Formula results in 2002-2006,
using our unique combination of filters and MLB ratings:
| MLB Season |
Wagering on ALL Dogs |
Using Primary Objective Filter |
Using ALL Objective/Subjective Filters |
| 2006 Dogs Results |
-9.27 units |
+22.10 units |
+20.31 units |
| 2005 Dogs Results |
-13.24 units |
+18.92 units |
+8.52 units † |
| 2004 Dogs Results |
-64.52 units |
-3.91 units |
+46.83 units |
| 2003 Dogs Results |
-88.08 units |
-44.89 units |
+43.51 units |
| 2002 Dogs Results |
-101.46 units |
-35.38 units |
+53.40 units |
† Full Season results in 2005 season. Official plays went -9.60 units.
Unofficial plays were sent to subscribers in September (using the same formula where the plays were sent to subscribers
as usual) and won 18.12 units. These plays were delivered to subscribers in Weeks 22-26.
Click here for a full description and review of our 2005 Season
results.
The Dogs Formula utilizes a combination of both objective filters
as well as subjective filters.
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We now have 7 years of MLB underdog stats in our baseball database. Every team, every game. Stats
that we can segment. Stats that we can measure, refer to, and project from.
For example: Certain underdogs in
key situations have won 160 units (at 1 unit per game) in those past 6 seasons. That's
about 25 units per season...and that is isolating just one variable. In the
past 6 seasons, those particular underdogs (collectively) in those key situations have not had an
unprofitable season. With a database like ours, we can sift through it and segment key variables like that.
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2007 Dogs Formula Record:
-39.81 Units
(based on 1 unit per play)
2006 Dogs Formula Record:
+20.31 Units
or $2,031 on $100 steady units
(we topped out at +36 units)
(based on 1 unit per play)
2005 Dogs Formula Record:
+8.52 Units (overall)
Official plays: -9.60 units
Unofficial plays sent to subscribers
in September:
+18.12 units
(based on 1 unit per play)
see explanation
2004 Dogs Formula Record:
+46.83 Units
or $4,683 on $100 steady units
(based on 1 unit per play)
2003 Dogs Formula Record:
+43.51 Units
or $4,351 on $100 steady units
(based on 1 unit per play)
2002 Dogs Formula Record:
+53.40 Units
or $5,340 on $100 steady units
(based on 1 unit per play)
Performance:
Our Baseball Dogs Formula provided in our package resulted in a
profit of 172.57 units from the 2002-2006 MLB Seasons (all based on 1 unit per play). The formula has a
five-year 3.9% Profit on Turnover, and a 69% average ROI over those five MLB Seasons.
That equates to an
average 3.9% profit on turnover (not to be confused with return on investment) over 4,519 plays, which
is certainly a statistically
significant number of events. To put that in context, a $100 flat bet on each
play would have returned $17,257 profit, minus the cost of the packages for the five years.
We have a definite long-term edge with this formula.
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Since our discovery of the MLB Dogs Formula, it has grown money for subscribers over the long haul. Playing $100
on every play from the 2002-2006 MLB Seasons would have grown a small investment into $17,257.
A long-term betting perspective
is needed with the Dogs Formula, in addition to disciplined money management. Subscribers receive
instructions and recommendations on how to best improve their chances of being a
long-term winner with these plays.
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We are the ONLY Service that Offers:
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The Dogs Formula is easy to understand. Players do not need to be
educated in baseball to
use it. No special knowledge of Major League Baseball is needed to play the formula.
Whether or not you are based in the U.S. or have access to coverage
of the games, our formulas can provide an appropriate method of profit-motivated
wagering on Major League Baseball, as long as strict money management and a long-term
betting perspective are utilized.
Special Reports
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