Baseball Formula
Serious Statistical Research on Major League Baseball
- Providing Research Material Since 2001 -


Old Tiger Stadium - Detroit


MLB Underdogs Formula - Baseball Betting System

Our new Version 2.0 MLB Dogs Formula results for 2010:
April: +6.83 units - for a $200 player, that's $1,366 in profits
May: +2.98 units - for a $200 player, that's $596 in profits
June: -2.50 units
July: see our home page (left column) for current YTD results
August:
Sept/Oct:

Past results for 2008 & in 2009:

2009 Season: + 28.33 units (1 unit per play). For a $200 player, that's $5,666 in profits.

2008 Season: + 36.74 units (1 unit per play). For a $200 player, that's $7,348 in profits.


2009 Weekly Results

2008 Weekly Results

We apply the research of baseball statistics and metrics to gain a possible edge in wagering. We are not handicappers or touts.

Over the past several years, we have put hundreds of hours into researching baseball statistics. We have studied many different formulas: Statistically-based formulas, offensive formulas, pitching formulas, series formulas, totals formulas, etc., etc.

Prior to the 2002 MLB Season, we developed a Dogs Formula which has had impressive long-term results. From the 2002 through the 2006 MLB Seasons, the Dogs Formula won over 170 units (based on steady 1 unit wagers).

After a disappointing season in 2007, we improved our Dogs Formula with more sophisticated metrics and an easier way of playing our MLB picks.

Our new and improved baseball Dogs Formula had impressive seasons in 2008 and 2009. The formula won over 36 units in 2008 and 28 units in 2009 (based on 1 unit per play).

Our Dogs Formula has been a solid long-term winner since its discovery. The sportsbook managers have the odds stacked against the public. But, the Dogs Formula beats them at the own game over the long haul. We have the long-term mathematical edge over these big Las Vegas outfits. While they have the long-term edge over most of the betting public, our Dogs Formula in turn has the edge over the sportsbooks.

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Our aim is to turn baseball research into statistical, long-term winning edges.

The 6-month, 26-week MLB Season provides a tremendous opportunity to profit in wagering. Each day is like an NFL Sunday...

We do the painstaking research and email the resulting plays to our subscribers for a reasonable price.


Description and Past Results

DESCRIPTION

Our Dogs Formula offers regular value bets on less favored teams. It utilizes sophisticated statistical analysis and filtering techniques. The Dogs Formula offers underdog value bets that give us a realistic chance at being a long term winner in Major League Baseball games.

Our Dogs Formula uses a unique ratings system that projects how each of the 30 MLB clubs will perform as dogs for the current season. We research and isolate each individual team well in advance of each MLB season. Then throughout the season, we keep updated daily stats on each team's projected performance.

Our underdogs formula factors in starting pitching matchups, bullpen statistics, key offensive stats, and ballpark stats.

Unique Research Tools

Our research into the performance of dogs in Major League Baseball include:

  • MLB Ratings Systems - All of the 30 MLB teams are rated and re-rated on a daily basis as the season progresses.


  • Team Isolation - We break down each team's performance as a dog, week by week.


  • Moving Averages - Each team's performance is researched not only as an overall YTD performance, but also as a "moving snapshot" that studies performance trends throughout the season for each club.
  • Profit on Turnover vs. Return on Investment
    Please don't confuse Profit on Turnover (POT) with Return on Investment (ROI). Profit on Turnover is a better determinant of performance.

    See our home page for a complete rundown of our Profit on Turnover and Return on Investment numbers.

    Click here to subscribe.

    PAST PERFORMANCE

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    Click here to subscribe to the Dogs Formula Season Pass.

    Alternatively, a monthly subscription to the Dogs Formula newsletter is good for 31 days of exciting National League and American League plays.

    NEW DOGS FORMULA
    2009 Season
    Total Weeks of Plays: 26
    Totals Games: 803
    Units won: 28.33 (based on 1 unit per play)
    Profit on Turnover (POT): 3.52%
    Return on Investment (ROI): 57%
    (see home page for info on how ROI was calculated)

    Note: Results are from 'live' predictions and were not backtested or retrofitted.


    Month
    Units Won/Lost
    Wagering $100/play
    April
    14.50
    $1,450
    May
    5.38
    $538
    June
    12.13
    $1,213
    July
    -19.46
    $-1,946
    August
    -6.11
    $-611
    September
    21.89
    $2,189
    Total
    28.33
    $2,833

    NEW DOGS FORMULA
    2008 Season
    Total Weeks of Plays: 26
    Totals Games: 768
    Units won: 36.74 (based on 1 unit per play)
    Profit on Turnover (POT): 4.78%
    Return on Investment (ROI): 73.5%
    (see home page for info on how ROI was calculated)

    Note: Results are from 'live' predictions and were not backtested or retrofitted.


    Month
    Units Won/Lost
    Wagering $100/play
    April
    26.09
    $2,609
    May
    -8.96
    $-896
    June
    6.51
    $651
    July
    15.13
    $1,513
    August
    -20.24
    $-2,024
    September
    18.21
    $1,821
    Total
    36.74
    $3,674

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