Serious Statistical Research on Major League Baseball
- Providing Research Material Since 2001 -
Turner Field, Atlanta
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Predictions/ MLB Futures
Each MLB season, we pass along key predictions to subscribers. The following are our official futures plays:
Five Year Totals: 27 out of 37 won - (73%) winning pct.
2007 Futures: Won 7 out of 10
2006 Futures: Won 4 out of 6
2005 Futures: Won 7 out of 10
2004 Futures: Won 5 out of 7
2003 Futures: Won 3 out of 3, including an 18:1 shot
2008 Official MLB Futures Predictions
We're short staffed in the 2008 baseball season due to one of the researchers becoming a new father
and another staffer being in Europe for business most of the season.
We'll be back in the saddle in the 2009 baseball season with the underdogs newsletter.
Note that we will still be selling copies of the Totals Formula for the 2008 Season.
Thanks for your business.
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2007 Official MLB Futures Predictions
(Emailed to subscribers on December 4, 2006):
2007 MLB Hall of Fame Props:
What % of Hall of Fame voters will vote for Mark McGwire?
Under vs. Over33 % of voters
Our Play: UNDER 33%
-139 odds at PinnacleSports.com
Result: WON (McGwire only received 23.5% of the vote)
Click here for proof
(Emailed to subscribers on February 19, 2007):
Chicago Cubs over 82.5 wins
-130 odds at TheGreek.com
Result: WON
(Emailed to subscribers on February 25, 2007):
Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 88 wins
-125 odds at BetCris.com
Result: WON
(Emailed to subscribers on February 25, 2007):
Will Bonds break Hank Aaron's record of 755 in the 2007 season?
Our selection: YES
-200 odds at TheGreek.com
Result: WON
(Emailed to subscribers on March 10, 2007):
St. Louis Cardinals OVER 84.5 wins
-125 odds at TheGreek.com
Result: LOST
(Emailed to subscribers on March 10, 2007):
Who will have more wins?
Erik Bedard (Baltimore) vs. Jason Schmidt (Dodgers) +2
Our pick: Schmidt +2
-155 odds at TheGreek.com
Result: LOST
(Emailed to subscribers on March 18, 2007):
Oswalt vs. Santana - who will have the most wins-
Our play: Johan Santana (Minnesota) -1 wins
-115 odds at TheGreek.com
Result: PUSH
(Emailed to subscribers on March 22, 2007):
2007 Team vs Team Regular Season Wins
Texas Rangers vs St Louis Cardinals
Our Play: St Louis Cardinals -2 reg season wins
-115 odds at TheGreek.com
Result: WON
(Emailed to subscribers on April 10, 2007):
NL East Division Winner: New York Mets -
-120 odds at Sportsbook.com
Result: LOST (Mets lost division on final day of the season)
(Emailed to subscribers on April 10, 2007):
AL West Division Winner: Los Angeles Angels -
-175 odds at TheGreek.com
Result: WON
(Emailed to subscribers on April 16, 2007):
AL East Division Winner: Boston Red Sox -
+140 odds at Sportsbook.com
Result: WON
2006 Official MLB Futures Predictions
(Emailed to subscribers on March 10, 2006):
Season Prop: Will Barry Bonds Receive a Drug Related Suspension in 2006? (Yes/No)-
Our Play: NO (he will not)
-131 odds at PinnacleSports.com
Result: WON
Click here for proof
(Emailed to subscribers on April 7, 2006):
NL West Division Winner: San Francisco Giants -
9 to 5 odds at Sportsbook.com
Result: LOST
(Emailed to subscribers on April 29, 2006):
NL East Division Winner: New York Mets -
-152 odds at EasyBets.com
Result: WON
Click here for proof
Note: Within 72 hours after releasing the prediction to subscribers,
the line jumped to -400 for the Mets.
(Emailed to subscribers on April 29, 2006):
AL Central Division Winner: Chicago White Sox -
-152 odds at EasyBets.com
Result: LOST
(Emailed to subscribers on May 10, 2006):
AL West Division Winner: Oakland Athletics -
+125 odds at Bet365.com
Result: WON
Click here for proof
(Emailed to subscribers on May 25, 2006):
NL Central Division Winner: St. Louis Cardinals -
-175 odds at StanJames.com
Result: WON
Click here for proof
Note: Line jumped to -250 less than 12 hours after releasing the play to subscribers.
2005 Official MLB Futures Predictions
(Emailed to subscribers on March 12, 2005):
Season Win Totals: Boston Red Sox UNDER 96.5 wins-
10 to 11 odds at StanJames.com
Result: WON
Click here for proof
(Emailed to subscribers on March 31, 2005):
Season Win Totals: San Francisco Giants OVER 82.5 wins -
-122 odds at PinnacleSports.com
Result: LOST
(Emailed to subscribers on April 19, 2005):
NL Central Division Winner: St. Louis Cardinals -
-150 odds at Sportsbook.com
Result: WON
Click here for proof
Note: A few weeks later, the best price available was St. Louis -600
(Emailed to subscribers on April 19, 2005):
NL West Division Winner: Los Angeles Dodgers -
+160 odds at Sportsbook.com
Result: LOST
(Emailed to subscribers on May 16, 2005):
NL East Division Winner: Atlanta Braves -
+130 odds at Bet365.com
Result: WON
Click here for proof
(Emailed to subscribers on June 11, 2005):
AL Central Division Winner: Chicago White Sox -
-110 odds at Wagerstreet.com
Result: WON
Click here for proof
(Emailed to subscribers on June 26, 2005):
AL East Division Winner: Boston Red Sox -
11 to 10 odds at Wagerstreet.com
Result: LOST - Boston lost the division in the final weekend. Both Boston and New York
finished with 95 wins, but the Yankees won the division on a tiebreaker. Boston won the AL Wild Card.
(Emailed to subscribers on August 7, 2005):
Season Win Totals: Baltimore Orioles UNDER 78.5 wins -
-136 odds at PinnacleSports.com
Result: WON
Click here for proof
(Emailed to subscribers on August 7, 2005):
Season Win Totals: Houston Astros OVER 87.5 wins -
-118 odds at PinnacleSports.com
Result: WON
Click here for proof
(Emailed to subscribers on August 23, 2005):
AL West Division Winner: Los Angeles Angels -
4 to 5 odds at Wagerstreet.com
Result: WON
Click here for proof
2004 Official MLB Futures Predictions
(Emailed to subscribers on March 12, 2004):
Season Win Totals: St. Louis Cardinals OVER 81.5 wins-
10 to 11 odds at StanJames.com
Result: WON
(St. Louis led the Majors with 105 wins)
Click here for proof
Season Win Totals: New York Mets UNDER 81.5 wins -
10 to 11 odds at Olympic Sportsbook (TheGreek.com)
Result: WON
Click here for proof
(Emailed to subscribers on April 29, 2004):
AL East Division Winner: Boston Red Sox-
6 to 5 odds at StanJames.com
Result: LOST (Boston won the AL Wild Card & The World Series)
(Emailed to subscribers on May 5, 2004):
NL Central Division Winner: Houston Astros-
6 to 5 odds at World Sports Exchange (WSEX.com) & StanJames.com
Result: LOST (Houston won the NL Wild Card)
-- Note: Houston prediction (above) was hedged by St. Louis to
win the NL Central on May 13, 2004:
NL Central Division Winner: St. Louis Cardinals-
8 to 1 odds at Bet365.com
Result: WON
Click here for proof
-- Note: Subscribers were alerted to an obvious Bet365.com oversight on July 10, 2004, in
which St. Louis was still listed at generous -125 (4 to 5) odds to win NL Central, despite having a commanding
7 game lead in that division. It was recommended that subscribers jump on it again:
NL Central Division Winner: St. Louis Cardinals-
4 to 5 odds at Bet365.com
Result: WON
Click here for proof
**How bad was the Bet365.com oversight on this? Within 48 hours, they changed the line to St. Louis at a whopping
-500 (1 to 5) odds to win the division, despite not having a bigger divisional lead.
-- Note: Subscribers were alerted to an obvious Olympic Sportsbook oversight on July 28, 2004, in
which Atlanta was listed at generous +130 (13 to 10) odds to win NL East, and Philadelphia was listed at generous
+155 odds to win the NL East. We stated that the only team that could beat Atlanta was Philadelphia, and that subscribers could
even take both teams in a futures bet and guarantee themselves a profit:
NL East Division Winner: Atlanta Braves-
13 to 10 odds at Olympic Sportsbook (theGreek.com)
Result: WON
Click here for proof
UPDATE: Just 5 days after passing along our play on Atlanta at +130 (13 to 10 odds), the sportsbooks had them at a
whopping 1 to 6 odds to win
the NL East.
2003 Official MLB Futures Predictions
San Francisco to win NL West Division: 2.85 to 1 odds
Result: WON
Click here for proof
Oakland to win AL West Division: 2.15 to 1 odds
Result: WON
Click here for proof
Florida to win NL pennant: 18 to 1 odds
Result: WON
Click here for proof
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